Maël van Beek
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  • Research
  • Papers
  • Teaching
  • CV
  • Projects
    • Inference from Scarce Data
    • Order-War Coevolution
    • Public preferences and international bargaining
  • Papers
    • Hierarchy and War
    • A Direct Method for the Estimation of Temporal Preferences
    • Alliance Management in the Face of Public Opinion: Experimental Evidence from the United States, Japan, and South Korea
    • An Adaptive Design for the Efficient Estimation of Temporal Preferences
    • Do Co-Party Signals on Tariffs Stretch Voters' Inflation Thresholds for Industry?
    • Dynamics of Change in International Organizations
    • Hierarchy misalignment and war: Relational and material power disparities among states
    • Likelihood-free Inference in Strategic Contexts
    • Measured in Blood: The Power to Hurt and the Public Appetite for War
    • Measurement Precision versus User Fatigue: Temporal Discounting in Politics
    • Measuring International Order: Three Approaches to an Amorphous Concept
    • Only Doves could send Nixon to China
    • Public Opinion, Democratic Institutions, and Leader Credibility
    • Refining known unknowns? Modeling and Measuring Uncertainty
    • Survey Experiments as Supervised Learning
    • The Balance of Blood: Casualty ratios and the public's threshold for war
    • The Trilemma of Hegemonic Order Competition
    • Warring Leviathans: Conflict Among Hierarchies and the Evolution of Human Prosociality
    • When Consistency Doesn't Matter: A Preference-Based Theory of Audience Costs
  • Research
  • Teaching

Public Opinion, Democratic Institutions, and Leader Credibility

Christopher Gelpi
Maël van Beek
Maël van Beek
Type
Manuscript

This paper researches how democratic backsliding impact the ability of credibility of leaders abroad by distinguishing between the effects of domestic polarization and of weakening democratic institutions.

Ongoing Public Preferences and International Bargaining Survey Experiments

© 2025 Maël van Beek.